Moore's Law in CLEAR Light

نویسندگان

  • Shuai Sun
  • Vikram K. Narayana
  • Tarek A. El-Ghazawi
  • Volker J. Sorger
چکیده

The inability of Moore’s Law and other figure-of-merits (FOMs) to accurately explain the technology development of the semiconductor industry demands a holistic merit to guide the industry. Here we introduce a FOM termed CLEAR that accurately postdicts technology developments since the 1940’s until today, and predicts photonics as a logical extension to keep-up the pace of information-handling machines. We show that CLEAR (Capability-to-Latency-Energy-Amount-Resistance) is multihierarchical applying to the device, interconnect, and system level. Being a holistic FOM, we show that empirical trends such as Moore’s Law and the Makimoto’s wave are special cases of the universal CLEAR merit. Looking ahead, photonic boardand chip-level technologies are able to continue the observed doubling rate of the CLEAR value every 12 months, while electronic technologies are unable to keep pace.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

ua nt - p h / 99 08 04 3 v 1 1 3 A ug 1 99 9 Ultimate physical limits to computation

Computers are physical systems: what they can and cannot do is dictated by the laws of physics (1-23). In particular, the speed with which a physical device can process information is limited by its energy (24-27), and the amount of information that it can process is limited by the number of degrees of freedom it possesses (1-2). The way in which it processes information is determined by the fo...

متن کامل

Computing Power into the 21st Century: Moore's Law and Beyond

In 1964, about 6 years after Jack Kilby and Robert Noyce independently hit on the \monolithic idea" of putting both transistors and the wires that connect them onto a single substrate, leading manufacturers had moved from placing two transistors on a single chip to around sixty per chip 24]. Gordon Moore made a prediction, admittedly tongue-in-cheek, that this exponential increase in the number...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • CoRR

دوره abs/1612.02898  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2016